Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.057409 0.065151 0.073068 0.081739 0.090940 0.100385 0.110784
2025-09-14 0.045672 0.057111 0.069381 0.083382 0.098787 0.115108 0.133594
2025-09-21 0.039298 0.053187 0.068653 0.086840 0.107365 0.129568 0.155173
2025-09-28 0.033382 0.048763 0.066498 0.087916 0.112608 0.139780 0.171565
2025-10-05 0.031980 0.049294 0.069741 0.094870 0.124235 0.156891 0.195422
2025-10-12 0.026983 0.044841 0.066629 0.094023 0.126591 0.163286 0.207039
2025-10-19 0.023942 0.042511 0.065804 0.095643 0.131606 0.172539 0.221737
2025-10-26 0.020817 0.039726 0.064154 0.096048 0.135009 0.179794 0.234034
2025-11-02 0.018561 0.037883 0.063518 0.097546 0.139594 0.188326 0.247719
2025-11-09 0.016079 0.035448 0.061920 0.097688 0.142421 0.194703 0.258832
2025-11-16 0.012926 0.031640 0.058228 0.094958 0.141567 0.196595 0.264600
2025-11-23 0.010277 0.028251 0.054858 0.092441 0.140816 0.198480 0.270249
2025-11-30 0.008806 0.026699 0.054081 0.093430 0.144620 0.206075 0.282956
2025-12-07 0.007701 0.025649 0.053968 0.095288 0.149543 0.215073 0.297410
2025-12-14 0.007169 0.025576 0.055257 0.099016 0.156833 0.226947 0.315300
2025-12-21 0.006117 0.024336 0.054704 0.100173 0.160795 0.234738 0.328302
2025-12-28 0.006511 0.026062 0.058708 0.107628 0.172882 0.252499 0.353264
2026-01-04 0.005177 0.023981 0.056727 0.106721 0.174124 0.256924 0.362214
2026-01-11 0.004495 0.023176 0.056674 0.108456 0.178761 0.265502 0.376142
2026-01-18 0.003679 0.021876 0.055740 0.108889 0.181656 0.271901 0.387423
2026-01-25 0.003138 0.021132 0.055654 0.110493 0.186063 0.280160 0.400944
2026-02-01 0.002473 0.019860 0.054602 0.110645 0.188510 0.285947 0.411445
2026-02-08 0.001586 0.017512 0.051530 0.107722 0.186763 0.286403 0.415381